Heat

More modelling mumbo-jumbo

Sky News reports:

More than 2,700 deaths linked to May and June heatwaves, study suggests

The analysis found that 42% died as a result of the extra heat caused by human activity - mostly burning fossil fuels.

How scientists could directly attribute a death to the burning of fossil fuels is never explained.

The article goes on to say:

Professor Lea Berrang Ford, head of the UK Health Security Agency's Centre for Climate and Health Security, said: "These modelled estimates are based on past trends in temperature effects on mortality and provide an important indication of the potential health impacts of sustained hot weather, particularly for the most vulnerable among us."

The keywords are 'modelled estimates'.

Actually the analysis 'found' nothing given that this report was based on 'modelled estimates'.

You can't 'find' anything from something that is not real but a model - you can only assume the model is indicative.

Remember the various 'modelled estimates' from Imperial College 'scientists' about COVID deaths that turned out to be fantasy?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/05/08/so-the-real-scandal-is-why-did-anyone-ever-listen-to-this-guy/

It is undoubtedly getting hotter in the UK but instead of worrying about 'net zero', which only models can predict will help or not, it might be better to focus more attention now on how UK society is going to adapt to hotter summers and reduce the number of excess deaths.

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